Odd Lots

Here's Why The Iran War Is Prompting A Safe Haven Rethink

91 snips
Mar 21, 2026
Joe Weisenthal, a Bloomberg markets journalist, breaks down why the Iran war is reshaping the hunt for safety. He looks at what really counts as a safe haven. He digs into why tariffs changed the dollar trade. He also explores Treasuries, inflation fears, and why gold can lose momentum when investors rush to cash.
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INSIGHT

What Actually Makes An Asset A Safe Haven

  • Safe havens are assets investors expect to hold value when growth and risk assets weaken.
  • Joe Weisenthal says gold endures beyond any economy, while Treasuries and the dollar rely on dependable US payments and broad acceptance.
INSIGHT

Why Tariffs Weakened The Dollar But War Helped It

  • The tariff shock hurt the dollar as an investment asset, while the Iran war revived its safe haven appeal.
  • Joe Weisenthal says tariffs made the US look costlier and less attractive, but war shifts investors from return-seeking to simple capital preservation.
INSIGHT

Why Treasuries Struggle When War Raises Inflation Risk

  • Treasuries can fail as immediate safe havens when war raises inflation fears faster than investors value guaranteed repayment.
  • Joe Weisenthal contrasts a fixed 4% coupon with 6% inflation and likens accepting that loss to paying for a safe deposit box.
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