Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast Daniel Davis: U.S. Attack on Iran Will Trigger Regional War
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Feb 7, 2026 
Daniel Davis, a former U.S. Army lieutenant colonel and four-time combat veteran turned analyst, warns a U.S. attack on Iran would spark an unpredictable regional war. He breaks down U.S. force limits, why limited strikes could provoke large retaliation, how hawkish rhetoric and staged actions mislead policymakers, and the likely asymmetric responses from Russia and China.
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Power Must Match The Political Objective
- The U.S. has large combat power in the region but capacity must match objectives for success.
- A full regime-destruction campaign against Iran would require hundreds of thousands of ground troops and sustained logistics, which the U.S. does not have staged.
Contradictory Messaging Weakens Justification
- U.S. policy mixes public moral arguments with covert actions to foment unrest in Iran.
- That contradiction — enabling protests while citing them as justification for military action — undermines coherence and credibility.
Rhetoric Can Force Maximum Retaliation
- Public calls for total regime change incentivize Iran to use all available force rather than restrain itself.
- Signaling no acceptable outcome but regime overthrow flips Iran's calculus toward maximal retaliation.