Australian Investors Podcast

The new monetary order, with PIMCO's Tony Crescenzi

Nov 18, 2025
Tony Crescenzi, Executive Vice President and Market Strategist at PIMCO, shares decades of wisdom on navigating the evolving global monetary order. He discusses PIMCO's defensive investment strategy and the significant role of high-quality bonds in today’s market. Crescenzi highlights the rising influence of China's managed currency and the implications for the US dollar. He reflects on personal investment lessons and the future of the 60/40 portfolio model, maintaining an optimistic outlook amid economic uncertainties.
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ANECDOTE

Real Estate Windfall From Low Inventory

  • Tony's best non-financial investment was U.S. real estate, benefiting from low inventory.
  • He sold a house recently for about 50% above ask, illustrating housing supply-driven gains.
ADVICE

High-Quality Bonds Offer Real Returns

  • Seek 5–7% yields from high-quality global bonds today as a realistic return target.
  • Aim for AA- average credit quality to balance yield and low default risk.
INSIGHT

Starting Yield Predicts Five-Year Returns

  • The starting yield largely predicts a bond fund's five-year rolling return historically.
  • Investors can 'bank' on starting yields as a reliable horizon-return guide.
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