The Warning with Steve Schmidt Steve Schmidt: Trump's War is BACKFIRING. Americans Will Pay the Price.
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Mar 30, 2026 A forceful critique of U.S. strategy toward Iran and how recent decisions risk American lives. Analysis of past misreads about Iran’s resilience and why regime survival trumps military losses. Examination of strategic chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz and the real limits of U.S. power. A warning about escalating commitments that could entangle the nation in a large, unwinnable contest.
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War Dead Will Become Political Merchandise
- Schmidt predicts American casualties will rise and be politicized by Trump for fundraising.
- He warns of caskets returning home and Trump profiting by selling campaign merchandise and staging photo ops.
Avoid Promising Quick Regime Collapse
- Avoid simplistic public claims of quick regime collapse during military actions.
- Schmidt warns Trump's rhetoric (calling for uprising and promising swift toppling) has strategic costs remembered by Tehran and global capitals.
Decapitation Strike Failed To Topple Iran
- Trump’s initial bombing claim to decapitate Iran failed to achieve regime change.
- Steve Schmidt notes the mullahs remain entrenched and are focused on retaining political power, not rebuilding military forces.