
TBPN Why My Article Just Tanked the Market
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Feb 23, 2026 Alap Shah, investor and entrepreneur focused on AI and tech, explains his report on agentic AI. He discusses potential structural declines in white-collar jobs. He explores how agentic systems could squeeze platform margins, which companies might capture value, and what political and economic responses could mitigate disruption.
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Personal Experience With Agentic Coding Productivity Gains
- Alap Shah draws on 15 years building AI and 20 years investing to spot changes from agentic coding adoption.
- He reports his teams saw a step-change in productivity after adopting agentic coding over the past six months.
Agentic AI Is Software Evolution Not A Single Shock
- Agentic AI is an accelerating continuation of software-driven efficiency gains rather than a sudden replacement event.
- Alap Shah says agents/LLMs amplify decades-long software productivity gains, making a structural white-collar contraction likely as adoption broadens.
White Collar Wage Decline Risks Broad Economic Contagion
- White-collar wages drive discretionary spending and asset prices, so persistent declines there create wide economic contagion.
- Shah warns a 4–5% annual structural drop in white-collar jobs would stress mortgages, taxes, and asset markets far more than a 2% decline.

