Quality At Value - Value Investing In Shares

QAV S01E41 — Cash Is A Fact

Dec 12, 2019
They explain why their portfolio beat the index by a huge margin and how miners, energy and commodities drove divergence. Cash versus accounting profits and why operating cash matters is debated. Lessons from Peter Lynch and Howard Marks on sensible, repeatable investing are discussed. They close with a detailed stock review of Universal Coal, covering cash metrics, valuation quirks and risk factors.
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INSIGHT

Portfolio Behavior Driven By Sector Exposure

  • QAV portfolio outperformed the All Ordinaries because its holdings skew to mining and energy, so it correlated with commodity prices rather than large-cap index moves.
  • When the ASX fell on tariff news, the portfolio avoided downside because commodities and small-cap miners moved differently than top-100 stocks driven by Trump headlines.
INSIGHT

Cash Is Harder To Manipulate Than Profit

  • Tony highlights cash and operating cash flow as the most reliable measures because profit lines contain accounting judgments and provisions.
  • Examples include amortisation, provisioning for doubtful debts and timing of capital expenditure that allow CEOs to shift profits between years.
ADVICE

Use A Checklist And Expect Imperfect Hits

  • Turn over as many rocks as possible and use a checklist to reject weak companies so your remaining picks have higher odds of success.
  • Accept you will get roughly six out of ten picks right and focus on managing volatility and staying in the game.
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