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242: Kris Sidial - Volatility Shocks: Positioning for Convex Payouts

Sep 13, 2022
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ADVICE

Fund Protection With Active Trading

  • Use active, uncorrelated trading on the other side of the book to offset the ongoing premium bleed from buying protection.
  • Accept small misses on moderate declines; the aim is to protect against very large, rapid crashes.
INSIGHT

Match Exposure To Shock Profiles

  • Volatility shocks differ by product and basis risk matters: S&P moves and VIX moves are not perfectly correlated.
  • Construct buckets across instruments and maturities to match the shock profile you expect.
ADVICE

Execution Changes The Payoff Math

  • Hunt for execution quality and price when buying tails; fills dramatically change convex returns.
  • Treat tail buying like value investing: cheaper fills multiply returns when tails hit.
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