
The Monocle Daily Will China’s plan to position itself as a peacemaker in the Iran war work?
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Apr 1, 2026 Rana Dasgupta, author reflecting on the fate of nation-states; Michael Binion, Times leader writer and commentator; Negar Anger, former US State Department and NSC adviser now at King’s College. They debate China’s bid to mediate the Iran conflict, Pakistan’s leverage, who speaks for Iran’s decision-makers and how US focus shifts affect Ukraine. Short takes on Artemis II and new Japanese cycling rules.
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Pakistan Positioned As Regional Mediator
- Pakistan can act as mediator with China as guarantor because of its ties to Iran and Saudi Arabia.
- Negar Anger highlights Pakistan's evolved diplomatic standing and leverage with both Riyadh and Beijing.
Revolutionary Guard Controls Iran's War Decisions
- Iran's decision-making is fragmented and dominated by the Revolutionary Guard, complicating ceasefire talks.
- Michael Binion warns political figures like the president lack the decisive authority the Guard holds over military strategy.
Frame Military Moves Around Domestic Reassurance
- Address domestic audiences when announcing foreign military moves to maintain political support.
- Negar Anger predicts Trump will use a scripted speech to calm his base and markets while justifying troop movements.




