The President's Daily Brief

PDB Situation Report | December 13th, 2025: Inside Japan’s Biggest Military Shift Since World War Two & Iran’s Student Uprising

31 snips
Dec 13, 2025
Retired U.S. Navy Rear Admiral Mark Montgomery analyzes Japan’s historic military buildup, highlighting missile expansions and an F-35 base near Taiwan amid rising tensions with China. He connects Taiwan's defense directly to Japan's security and the U.S. response dynamics. Meanwhile, Iranian-American scholar Ramesh Sepehrrad sheds light on the bold student-led protests in Iran, emphasizing the risks these youths face as they challenge regime legitimacy and fight for political freedom amidst escalating socioeconomic crises.
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ADVICE

Preserve Credible Deterrence

  • Maintain credible military power so coercion of Taiwan remains costly, as the U.S. national strategy claims.
  • Clarify political signaling to reduce dangerous ambiguity about U.S. responses.
ANECDOTE

Personal Link To Military Reality

  • Montgomery recounts discussions with his son on a US Navy ship who expects to be involved in any Taiwan crisis.
  • He uses the Israel–Iran 12-day war to illustrate how fast decisions and escalations can occur.
INSIGHT

China's Likely Non-Kinetic Campaign

  • Montgomery warns that China may prefer cyber-enabled economic and societal pressure to full-scale invasion.
  • He predicts intensified coercion around Taiwan's election cycle in 2027–2028 to influence outcomes.
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