Rational Security

The “Ten Years, Still Off-Key” Edition

Sep 17, 2025
Shane Harris, a national security journalist from The Atlantic, discusses the link between online radicalization and recent gun violence incidents. Benjamin Wittes, editor-in-chief of Lawfare, warns that Russian gray-zone warfare efforts, especially drone incursions, remain under-discussed. Quinta Jurecic shares intriguing data on the outcomes of federal law enforcement actions in D.C. Lastly, Alan Z. Rozenshtein highlights the troubling disregard for the TikTok ban by the Trump administration, raising concerns over executive power.
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INSIGHT

Rising Male Social Isolation Is A Risk Factor

  • Young men report rising loneliness, fewer close friends, and social disconnection.
  • Scott R. Anderson links this "boy crisis" to vulnerability to violent online subcultures.
INSIGHT

Repeated Probes Can Erode NATO Deterrence

  • Russia repeatedly probes NATO with low-cost gray-zone actions like drone incursions.
  • Benjamin Wittes warns that sustained poking can erode allied confidence and deterrence.
ADVICE

Evaluate Enforcement By Indictment Rates

  • Track grand-jury outcomes, not only charges, to judge a federal surge's legal effectiveness.
  • Quinta Jurecic highlights many federal cases in D.C. are failing to secure indictments or being downgraded.
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