The Orthogonal Bet

Nick Foster on "Could Should Might Don’t"

Oct 29, 2025
Nick Foster, a renowned designer and futurist who has shaped future-oriented design for major brands like Dyson and Google X, discusses his book, *Could Should Might Don’t*. He explores how organizations engage with futures design and the common pitfalls in forecasting. Foster introduces his taxonomy of future-thinking, emphasizing the need for balance and intentionality. He shares insights on using science fiction effectively and advocates for a grounded approach to envisioning 'the future mundane'—making futures relatable and realistic.
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ADVICE

Use The Four Futures Modes

  • Use four complementary modes when thinking about the future: Could, Should, Might, and Don't.
  • Spend time in each mode to avoid biased, non-rigorous futures thinking.
INSIGHT

Single-Mode Futures Are Fragile

  • Many practitioners favor one futures mode (often 'should') and miss blind spots the others expose.
  • Fuller rigor requires deliberately exploring all four perspectives.
ADVICE

Build Futures Muscle With Small Rituals

  • If resources are limited, create small rituals like a five-minute 'what then?' at meetings to build future-thinking.
  • Introduce might, could, and don't incrementally to broaden a should-focused audience.
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