Robert Wright's Nonzero

MAGA Opposition to the Iran War (Robert Wright, Curt Mills, and Andrew Day)

Apr 1, 2026
Andrew Day, senior editor at The American Conservative and co-host of Tack Right Now, offers sharp conservative foreign-policy commentary. Curt Mills, executive director at The American Conservative and foreign-policy analyst, brings strategic analysis. They debate MAGA resistance to the Iran war, Trump's decision-making, China and Russia's gains, the Strait of Hormuz, intra-MAGA splits, and prospects for withdrawal or detente.
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INSIGHT

Why Trump Might Persist Rather Than Pull Out

  • Wright and guests debate Trump's decision calculus, noting his short-horizon style and headline-seeking instincts may favor persisting rather than cutting losses.
  • They suggest political costs could still force a recalculation if public opinion and polls move sharply against him.
INSIGHT

China As A Possible Credible Broker

  • Robert Wright highlights China as a potential credible broker for Iran because Tehran trusts outside patrons less tied to Israel or the U.S.
  • He notes China benefits relatively from U.S. distraction and could architect a settlement without military guarantees.
INSIGHT

How Trump's Positive Framing Enables Escalation

  • Andrew Day and Curt Mills say Trump uses optimistic reframing and 'power of positive thinking' rhetoric to portray successes, shifting goalposts like claiming regime change already achieved.
  • They argue this helps him justify escalation while insulating supporters from inconvenient outcomes.
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