What's Next For Markets

A Market Meltdown… or a Market Rotation?

Feb 8, 2026
A look at wild swings in mega-cap tech and crypto while the broader market quietly gained ground. Discussion of money shifting from momentum into value and cyclicals. Exploration of improving small- and mid-cap earnings and a HOPE framework view of housing, orders, profits, and employment. Thoughts on softer job data helping a potential soft landing and what to watch as leadership broadens.
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ANECDOTE

Client Travel And College Auditions

  • Michael Kantrowitz describes traveling to Chicago and attending his daughter's 16 auditions during a busy client week.
  • The personal story frames why he was on the road while markets experienced volatility.
INSIGHT

Surface Indexes Mask Breadth

  • Market pain was concentrated in crowded mega-cap tech and software while value and equal-weight indices hit new highs.
  • This divergence shows headline indices can hide broad internal market strength.
INSIGHT

Rotation Rooted In Macro, Not Rates

  • The current rotation began in October and differs because it's not driven by falling rates alone.
  • It's broadening due to improving macro and earnings data, making the shift more sustainable.
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