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World Energy Outlook 2025: Key takeaways

Nov 14, 2025
Laura Cozzi and Tim Gould from the IEA delve into the World Energy Outlook 2025, revealing complex energy security risks tied to geopolitical tensions and market concentration in critical minerals. They highlight shifting demand driven by growth in India and Southeast Asia, emphasizing the rapid rise of renewable energy, particularly solar. The duo also discusses the pervasive impact of electric vehicles on oil demand and the urgent need for grid investments to keep pace with skyrocketing electricity needs, advocating for a coordinated policy response akin to 1973.
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INSIGHT

Policy Choices Shape Fossil Trajectories

  • Under current enacted policies, oil and gas demand could continue growing past 2030 toward mid-century.
  • Tim Gould contrasts this with other scenarios where stronger policies and tech uptake flatten demand sooner.
INSIGHT

EVs Decide Oil's Future

  • Electric mobility is the single biggest factor determining future oil demand because road transport is nearly half of oil use.
  • Tim Gould says wider EV adoption outside China and Europe is crucial to flatten oil demand globally.
INSIGHT

US Fuels An LNG Wave

  • A US-led wave of new LNG export projects is expanding global supply, with growth also from Qatar.
  • Tim Gould expects LNG to flow to Europe, China and new markets like India and Southeast Asia as prices fall.
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