The Bid

256: AI and Bond Markets: How Artificial Intelligence Is Reshaping Fixed Income Investing

9 snips
Apr 2, 2026
Jeff Rosenberg, Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager at BlackRock Systematic, specializes in systematic fixed income and AI-driven bond strategies. He discusses how AI is driving capital demand and debt issuance, how machine learning and generative AI upgrade credit research and sentiment tools, and how ETFs and electronification are changing liquidity and price discovery in bond markets.
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INSIGHT

Bonds Are No Longer A Guaranteed Hedge

  • Bonds no longer act as a guaranteed hedge because inflation shifted from too low to too high, producing periods of positive stock-bond correlation.
  • Jeff Rosenberg cites 2022 and the Iran war shock as examples where bonds failed to provide ballast, forcing a rethink of portfolio roles.
ADVICE

Engineer Bond Outcomes Not Just Buy And Hold

  • Reframe bond allocation from passive ballast to engineered outcomes like income or targeted protection using systematic strategies.
  • Rosenberg recommends techniques such as long-short strategies to restore ballast outcomes when inflation regimes undermine vanilla bonds.
INSIGHT

AI Is Raising Capital Demand And Real Rates

  • AI is creating a large global capital investment cycle that raises demand for finance and pushes real interest rates up from negative/zero levels.
  • Rosenberg links AI-driven capex, reshoring, and energy security as drivers increasing capital demand and real rates.
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