The NPR Politics Podcast Here's What We'll Be Watching For On Election Night
Nov 2, 2020
Anticipation builds as voting day approaches, with key states in focus for their potential impact. Early voting trends in Texas and Georgia could sway outcomes in traditionally Republican areas. This election year has been full of unexpected twists, from the Super Bowl to COVID-19's influence on campaigns. The unpredictability of the pandemic and recent health challenges faced by politicians is reshaping voter behavior. Join the team as they prepare to cover this extraordinary election night.
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Trump's Red State Underperformance
- Domenico Montanaro observes that Trump's underperformance in typically red states, like Texas, Georgia, and Arizona, is a significant difference from 2016.
- This is due to shifts in demographics, like white women with college degrees, and may be a sign of Biden's strength.
Trump's Gamble
- Tamara Keith emphasizes the Trump campaign's gamble on a strong Election Day turnout to counter early Democratic voting.
- Their success hinges on whether this strategy works and whether record-breaking voter turnout predictions are accurate.
Countrypolitan Counties
- Domenico Montanaro highlights the importance of "countrypolitan" counties, or exurban areas, where Trump performed well in 2016.
- Biden hopes to reduce the margin of loss in these areas compared to Clinton, which could significantly impact the election.