Call Me Back - with Dan Senor

Ground Assault or Diplomacy? - with Nadav Eyal and Fred Kagan

97 snips
Mar 30, 2026
Nadav Eyal, Ark Media contributor and senior analyst focused on Israeli military strategy and regional dynamics. Fred Kagan, director at AEI and former West Point military history professor. They debate military buildup versus diplomacy. They discuss the air campaign, Iran’s regional tactics and Strait of Hormuz leverage. They weigh U.S. ground options, energy-target strategies, and possible endgames.
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INSIGHT

Air Campaign Shifting Eastward And Targeting Industry

  • The combined air campaign is advancing from west to east, striking missile, drone, air defense, internal security, and defense industrial targets across Iran.
  • Fred Kagan notes strikes now reach central and eastern Iran and include attacks on nuclear-related and industrial infrastructure, plus A-10s and Apaches countering fast attack craft near Hormuz.
INSIGHT

Missile Launches Rose But Overall Rates Have Dropped Sharply

  • Ballistic missile launches from Iran have increased but overall launch rates are 80–90% down since the war began.
  • Nadav Eyal cautions local significance remains for populations under attack despite the overall reduction.
ADVICE

Keep Military Pressure While Negotiating

  • Continue full-scale military operations while pursuing diplomacy so battlefield progress strengthens negotiating leverage.
  • Fred Kagan argues executing the campaign plan unchanged is sensible until a deal is reached or battlefield gains make talks favorable.
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