Stocks Climb as Trump Soothes Wall Street Nerves

Oct 17, 2025

Guest

Winnie Cisar

Winnie Cisar, Global Head of Strategy at CreditSights, dives into the vulnerabilities in the credit market and the implications of private credit growth. Katie Hubbard, EVP at Walton Global, shares insights on the Southern California real estate slump contrasted with Midwestern resilience, while also discussing the rising ARM mortgage trend. Dana Telsey, CEO of Telsey Advisory Group, highlights consumer resilience driven by product innovation and the luxury market's stabilization amidst tariff concerns. Together, they explore the evolving landscape of finance and retail.

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ADVICE

Watch ARM Uptake And SOFR Exposure

Track adjustable-rate mortgage uptake as it materially affects affordability and builder demand.
Watch SOFR-linked ARM costs because they tie directly to Fed policy and buyer qualification.

INSIGHT

Regional Housing Divergence Widens

Inventory is elevated in some regions, with Southern California notably weaker than Midwest and Northeast.
Builders are slowing starts and permits amid higher unsold homes per community.

ADVICE

Time Land Purchases To Development Demand

Use balance-sheet land financing to give builders flexibility on timing and reduce market-timing risk.
Hold land until development demand and zoning align to avoid cyclical losses.

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A jittery week on Wall Street ended on a positive note for stocks as President Donald Trump’s remarks soothed anxiety around trade tensions while regional banks rebounded. Bonds, gold and silver fell.

The bounce in equities sent the S&P 500 to its best week since August, with Trump expressing optimism that talks with Chinese officials could yield an agreement to defuse the tariff spat between the world’s two biggest economies. A batch of solid results from various regional lenders lifted the industry after a rout triggered by concern over credit quality in the economy.

The White House signaled efforts to calm fears of a full-blown trade war that could have a seismic effect on the global economy. “I think we’re doing very well. I think we’re getting along with China,” Trump said. He also indicated that he believed his planned meeting with President Xi Jinping this month would go ahead.

The S&P 500 added 0.5%. A closely watched exchange-traded fund tracking regional banks climbed 1.6%. Zions Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp - which had led the recent industry selloff - rallied at least 3.1%. Oracle Corp. sank about 7% on concerns about fulfilling AI cloud demand.

Treasury two-year yields rose from the lowest since 2022. The dollar was little changed at the end of its worst week since August.

Today's show features:
Winnie Cisar, Global Head of Strategy at CreditSights, on potential cracks in the US credit market
Katie Hubbard, Executive Vice President of Capital Markets at Walton Global, on the US real estate market
Dana Telsey, Founder, CEO and Chief Research Officer of Telsey Advisory Group, on the health of the American consumer and the retail sector
Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and Author of “Putin's World,” on President Donald Trump’s meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and planned summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin

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