Oil is marching toward $100 a barrel largely due to China’s boom. Demand for ethanol is pushing corn prices up. Soybean prices are rising because so many bean fields have been switched to corn. In short prices of commodities worldwide are soaring making for frenzied action in commodities futures markets. New research by Wharton finance professor Gary Gorton and two colleagues shows how spot and futures prices are good indicators of low-inventory commodities which in turn can offer outsized investment gains. Their research is presented in a paper titled ”The Fundamentals of Commodity Futures Returns.”
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