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GM59: The Geopolitical Tug-of-War: Russia, China & the West ft. Marko Papic

28 snips
Apr 24, 2024
Geopolitics expert Marko Papic discusses the global power dynamics between the West, Russia, and China. He explores the transition to a multipolar world order, implications of the US election, and the growing tensions between Russia and China. Marko also talks about investing in European industrials, the potential for China to invade Taiwan, and the complexities of geopolitical alliances and rivalries.
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ADVICE

Investing in Trends

Fade geopolitical events, but invest in geopolitical trends.

  • Geopolitical events are fleeting while underlying trends offer more sustainable investment opportunities.
INSIGHT

1970s Inflation vs. Today

  • The 1970s inflation resulted from domestic policies, income inequality, and geopolitical events, not just OPEC.
  • Similar factors exist today, but with a key difference in long-term inflation expectations.
INSIGHT

Mispriced Inflation

  • The market hasn't priced in the shift in inflation expectations.
  • Gold prices suggest either a market crash or incorrect deflation methods for long-term interest rates.
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