Politics Now

Where One Nation will target next

May 11, 2026
A deep dive into One Nation's shock lower-house win and what it means for the political map. They trace how conservative vote-splitting and shifting heartlands opened the path to success. Discussion turns to where the party might target next, especially suburban battlegrounds like Western Sydney. The conversation also links this to international populist gains and recent UK local election shocks.
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INSIGHT

One Nation Breaks Through In Farrer

  • One Nation won Farrer with about 40% primary, marking its first federal lower-house seat and a seismic shift in conservative politics.
  • The result overturned a 77-year Coalition hold and signals voters switching from major parties to a disruptive right-wing alternative.
INSIGHT

Operation Angus Failed To Stem Defections

  • The Farrer result happened three months after Angus Taylor became opposition leader and undermines his Operation Angus aim to stop bleeding to One Nation.
  • Voters chose disruption over a change of conservative leadership, suggesting leadership change alone won't reclaim voters.
INSIGHT

Three Corner Contest Backfired For Coalition

  • The Nationals running in a three-cornered contest likely cannibalised Liberal votes and failed to block One Nation.
  • In Farrer the Nationals didn't provide a consolidated anti-One Nation option, worsening the Coalition's collapse.
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