The Political Scene | The New Yorker

A Stark Warning About the 2026 Election, with Robert Kagan

49 snips
Jan 16, 2026
Robert Kagan, a historian and senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, shares alarming insights into the state of American democracy. He revisits his 2016 warnings about Trump's authoritarian tendencies, arguing that the crisis has escalated. Kagan asserts that the 2026 elections could be pivotal, fearing Trump may not accept defeat. He discusses how federal actions in Minnesota could normalize authoritarianism and the troubling implications for global order, stressing the urgency for civic engagement to safeguard democracy.
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INSIGHT

An Ideological Project To Overturn The Founders

  • Kagan says the movement behind Trump aims to overturn the founders' liberal government and restore hierarchical order.
  • He ties modern ideologues and advisers to an explicit project to replace equality with a return to ranked social order.
INSIGHT

Expect Moves To Prevent A 2026 Loss

  • Kagan predicts Trump will not accept losing the 2026 election and will use federal force and legal maneuvers to retain power.
  • He sees actions like provoking riots, deploying ICE, and invoking the Insurrection Act as steps toward seizing ballots.
INSIGHT

Elite Failure Amplifies Authoritarian Reach

  • Kagan estimates roughly 35–40% of Americans may support authoritarian rule and many more will be indifferent or deceived.
  • He blames elite cowardice and complicity for allowing authoritarianism to advance with little resistance.
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