What Bitcoin Did

This Is The Macro Reset | Nik Bhatia

94 snips
Mar 18, 2026
Nik Bhatia, macro strategist and author on money and Bitcoin, revisits his macro views amid war-driven volatility. He talks oil spiking to $100, dollar strength, and why treasuries still matter. He also covers stablecoins and the Genius Act reshaping dollar governance, AI job shifts, and Bitcoin’s evolving cycle.
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ADVICE

Prepare For AI Disruption Then Retrain

  • Prepare for job displacement but expect labor markets to adjust via retraining and new roles managing and building AI systems.
  • Nik urges viewing AI as amplifying workers (e.g., lawyers using Claude) not fully replacing courtroom or managerial roles.
INSIGHT

Small Default Rates Threaten A Levered System

  • The global financial system depends on rolling over roughly $350 trillion of debt, so even small default rates (5–10%) can trigger systemic damage.
  • Nik emphasizes leverage: when cash flows stop at the margin, the system collapses without government backstops.
INSIGHT

Treasuries Are The Systemic Base Asset

  • Treasuries are the plumbing of global finance because they are the ultimate low-counterparty-risk layer everyone needs.
  • Nik compares daily repo flows (~$3.3T SOFR) to Bitcoin market cap to show scale and ubiquity of treasury demand.
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