Call Me Back - with Dan Senor The Rise and Fall of a Hostage Deal - with Nadav Eyal
May 8, 2024
Nadav Eyal discusses the failed hostage deal between Israel and Hamas, delving into the complexities of negotiations. They explore Israel's concessions, Hamas' new deal, and the IDF's operation in Rafah. The podcast also touches on the Israeli-Egyptian alliance, US pressure on Israel, and the quest for regional stability.
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Hamas' Counteroffer Changed The Deal
- Hamas publicly signaled acceptance but submitted a counter-offer that materially altered terms and sequencing of returns.
- Their counter demanded staged returns, possible returns of bodies, and linkage of many releases to a declared war end.
Phased Returns Linked To War Termination
- Hamas proposed phased returns over weeks and conditioned many releases on agreement to later phases that would effectively end the war.
- That sequencing undermined Israeli insistence on retrieving hostages without conceding a war termination.
Media Signaling As A Negotiation Tool
- Hamas used media signaling to flip blame and gain public credit, presenting itself as the side that agreed while complicating terms.
- That media play shifted international perception, making Israel appear responsible for scuttling a deal.