Establish The Run Fantasy Football How To Beat NFL Player Props (Episode 433 with Adam Levitan, Mike Leone, Mark Dankenbring)
Adam Levitan, Mike Leone, and Mark Dankenbring discuss how to become a better player props bettor in NFL, how projections can be used to make better bets, why unders are better than overs, and much more.
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In this episode, we discuss:
- Are props just projections vs. lines? (2:48)
- How does volume relate to props? (5:02)
- Using mean vs. median (6:41)
- If we can beat them, why do books still offer props? (9:50)
- Why are unders better than overs? (12:03)
- Managing your money in sportsbooks (17:36)
- Explaining why higher volume, lower win rate is better (20:47)
- Betting openers (25:00)
Links mentioned in the episode:
- Underdog Best Ball Rankings - https://establishtherun.com/etrs-top-300-for-underdogfantasy/
- Silva’s Top 150 - https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150/
- Dynasty Rankings - https://establishtherun.com/2022-dynasty-rankings/
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