State of the Markets

#237 Daniel Bird - Investing in Special Opportunities

Mar 1, 2026
Daniel Bird, founder of Thornwood Capital and former global credit lead at Bank of America, explains opportunistic credit and distressed debt. He covers sovereigns to corporates and how to spot restructurings versus terminal failure. Topics include turnaround paths, forensic claims recovery like FTX, real-estate-backed plays, sector risks and how investors construct short-dated, event-driven portfolios.
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INSIGHT

Distressed Debt Is Now Special Situations

  • Distressed debt now sits inside a broader special situations and capital solutions universe.
  • Daniel Bird explains special situations include recapitalizations, rescue financing, dip financing and growth financing beyond classic >1,000bp distressed spreads.
ANECDOTE

FTX Claims Turned From Cents Into Home Runs

  • FTX claims that traded at single-digit cents became highly valuable after uncovering successful VC and tech investments inside the bankruptcy.
  • Daniel Bird recounts specialists who bought claims sub-20 cents and later recovered more than par by digging through bankruptcy disclosures.
ANECDOTE

Junior Bond Voting Rights Delivered 2–3x Returns

  • A UK Italian restaurant chain's junior bond had voting rights that created holdout value during restructuring.
  • Bird bought the junior bonds, used their vote leverage and earned 2–3x as the deal granted value to secure agreement.
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