Plain English with Derek Thompson The Media is Missing Something Big in Biden’s Bad Polling Numbers
19 snips
Nov 17, 2023 
Nate Cohn, chief political analyst at the New York Times, dives into the worrisome polling numbers for Joe Biden, especially in swing states. He discusses the notorious poll showing Trump ahead and the importance of taking polls seriously, despite the election still being months away. Cohn highlights Biden's age as a multi-faceted issue and introduces the 'engagement gap'—a critical yet underexplored aspect affecting voter behavior that might reshape the political landscape as 2024 approaches.
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2024 Poll Relevance
- Polls a year out are more meaningful now in polarized politics.
- The 2024 rematch makes polls more predictive than usual.
Minority Voter Shifts
- It is difficult to pinpoint the exact reason for minority voter shifts.
- Nate Cohn suggests weakening party allegiances and Trump's populism play a role.
Youth Support
- Biden's weak support among young people might be expressive responding in polls.
- Less engaged young voters, who typically lean left, are less supportive of Biden.