
The Wolf Of All Streets Bitcoin Indicator Flips Bearish For First Time Ever! Should We Be Concerned?
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Feb 16, 2026 Larry Lepard, macro investor with strong views on metals and policy, and Dave Weisberger, former exchange executive and crypto analyst, debate a rare red January–February signal for Bitcoin. They discuss market structure, macro drivers, metals versus bonds, liquidity risks, and whether this signal signals deeper weakness or a shakeout. Short, sharp takes on policy, supply dynamics, and crypto rails.
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Metals Signaling A Different Risk Regime
- Mike observes metals and commodities acting like crypto did last year, signaling economic rotation and risk divergence.
- He connects rising metals and collapsing natural gas to potential equity and Bitcoin weakness ahead.
Flawed Job Data Raises Odds Of Big Stimulus
- Dave highlights BLS measurement problems from the birth-death model and the gig economy skewing job data.
- He concludes apparent slack makes a large policy liquidity response more likely later this year.
Prefer Long Treasuries Over Gold
- Mike recommends selling gold and buying long-duration Treasuries as a trade into expected policy and market moves.
- He expects TLT to rise substantially this year and urges taking risk in that direction.







