The Wolf Of All Streets

Bitcoin Indicator Flips Bearish For First Time Ever! Should We Be Concerned?

19 snips
Feb 16, 2026
Larry Lepard, macro investor with strong views on metals and policy, and Dave Weisberger, former exchange executive and crypto analyst, debate a rare red January–February signal for Bitcoin. They discuss market structure, macro drivers, metals versus bonds, liquidity risks, and whether this signal signals deeper weakness or a shakeout. Short, sharp takes on policy, supply dynamics, and crypto rails.
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INSIGHT

Metals Signaling A Different Risk Regime

  • Mike observes metals and commodities acting like crypto did last year, signaling economic rotation and risk divergence.
  • He connects rising metals and collapsing natural gas to potential equity and Bitcoin weakness ahead.
INSIGHT

Flawed Job Data Raises Odds Of Big Stimulus

  • Dave highlights BLS measurement problems from the birth-death model and the gig economy skewing job data.
  • He concludes apparent slack makes a large policy liquidity response more likely later this year.
ADVICE

Prefer Long Treasuries Over Gold

  • Mike recommends selling gold and buying long-duration Treasuries as a trade into expected policy and market moves.
  • He expects TLT to rise substantially this year and urges taking risk in that direction.
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