The DSR Network The Post-Iran War Prognosis Is Deeply Unsettling
Mar 11, 2026
Holly Dagres, Iran specialist offering sharp takes on Tehran’s calculations. Aaron David Miller, seasoned U.S. foreign policy analyst with strategic perspective. Max Boot, historian and commentator on geopolitics. They debate whether this is an excursion or full-scale war. They probe who controls the endgame, regional fallout, risks of nuclear incentives, and which global powers stand to gain.
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Initiator Loses Control Over War's End
- The U.S. has limited control over how and when the Iran war ends.
- Multiple parties, especially Iran, and regional states must agree to end it, so initiation doesn't equal control of outcomes, as David Rothkopf and Holly Dagres stress.
Trump's Leverage Over Netanyahu Shapes Israeli Choices
- Trump holds exceptional leverage over Benjamin Netanyahu, so U.S. decisions can compel Israeli compliance.
- Aaron David Miller argues Netanyahu will follow Trump's lead to protect his re-election prospects in 2026.
Both Sides Can Claim Credible Victory
- Both the U.S. and Iran will claim victory after kinetic fighting stops, and each claim will have credible elements.
- Max Boot notes U.S. can point to destroyed Iranian naval and missile assets while Iran can point to regime survival and continued oil exports.