The Joe Walker Podcast

Rational Minds Part 3: Rethinking Bubbles - Vernon Smith

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Dec 19, 2020
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INSIGHT

Bubbles Can Be Rationally Emergent

  • Bubbles can form from individually rational behaviour interacting, not just from mass irrationality.
  • Collective responses to complexity make bubbles an emergent, often inevitable, outcome.
ADVICE

Learn Market Skills By Doing

  • Learn market 'know-how' by experience and imitation, not just instruction.
  • Apprenticing with experienced traders builds tacit skills that theory alone cannot teach.
ANECDOTE

Lab Markets Produced Bubbles Unexpectedly

  • Vernon Smith recounts lab asset-trading experiments that produced clear bubbles despite known fundamental values.
  • Inexperienced subjects created rising prices that peaked before crashing, surprising the researchers.
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