The Times of Israel Daily Briefing

After Larijani assassination, who's holding the wheel in Iran?

10 snips
Mar 18, 2026
Lazar Berman, diplomatic correspondent with expertise in Middle East and Iranian politics. He describes Iran’s missile barrages and the impact of Ali Larijani’s assassination on regime leadership. He breaks down power struggles between the IRGC and clerical establishment. He outlines how Iran’s institutions operate and how international players like China and India are reacting.
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INSIGHT

Larijani Was The Regime's Central Coordinator

  • Ali Larijani was the regime's key post-Khamenei coordinator between clerics and the IRGC.
  • He personally ran nuclear policy and wartime coordination, and his death removed Iran's most important operational bridge.
INSIGHT

IRGC Is Becoming The De Facto Power Center

  • The Islamic Republic is shifting from clerical control to IRGC dominance as its operational core.
  • With many senior IRGC leaders dead, third-tier commanders now run operations, making the IRGC the de facto power center.
INSIGHT

Iran's Retaliation Appears Decentralized

  • Iran's current strikes appear decentralized with local commanders empowered to fire.
  • That explains broad, sometimes indiscriminate barrages at Israel and Gulf states rather than tightly coordinated strategy.
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