Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

2026 First Base Preview

35 snips
Jan 22, 2026
A spirited rundown of 2026 first base ADP — who looks overvalued and who might be a steal. They debate top-tier volatility, midrange safety, and how ballpark and playing-time shifts reshape upside. Deeper looks at late-round targets, prospects, and which bats carry risky BABIP or platoon concerns.
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INSIGHT

Tyler Soderstrom's Upside Comes From Added Feel

  • Tyler Soderstrom mixes high bat speed with improving feel and age, giving upside if he reduces ground-ball rate and lifts more.
  • Eno notes Soderstrom already showed growth and offers outfield/first base flexibility.
INSIGHT

Michael Busch Has Power But Real Playing Time Risk

  • Michael Busch shows strong barrel rates despite low bat speed but faces platoon risk after Cubs signed Tyler Austin.
  • Derek warns Steamer limits his PA projection under 600, making him risky in weekly leagues.
INSIGHT

Yandy Díaz Is A Projections Darling Trapped By ADP

  • Yandy Díaz repeatedly projects well but ADP lags due to concerns about outing-dependent power and BABIP variance.
  • Derek calls this the 'ADP game' — wait or grab earlier based on roster needs.
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