Daily Politics from the New Statesman

Can Plaid Cymru defeat Reform again?

Jan 29, 2026
Rhun Ap Iorwerth, leader of Plaid Cymru and Welsh politician, discusses Plaid’s surprise Caerphilly win and why voters are shifting away from Labour. He outlines campaign strategy and a 100-day government plan. He also covers policing devolution, protecting the Welsh language, and how Plaid would counter Reform while preferring progressive partnerships.
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INSIGHT

Caerphilly Result Signals Political Shift

  • The Caerphilly by-election showed Plaid Cymru can convert long-standing Labour areas by offering a hopeful, community-first message.
  • Rhun ap Iorwerth argues nearly half the voters chose Plaid over Reform and Labour combined, signalling a new era in Welsh politics.
INSIGHT

Polls Highlight Plaid's Defensive Appeal

  • Polls show Plaid is now widely seen as best placed to stop a Reform government and to stand up for Wales.
  • Rhun says voters are moving from assumed Labour loyalty to trusting Plaid for change.
INSIGHT

Incumbency Fatigue Meets National Assertiveness

  • Long incumbencies breed desire for change, and Welsh voters now seek new leadership that will prioritise Wales.
  • Rhun blames Labour's closeness to UK leadership for weakening Welsh interests and trust.
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