The Daily T ‘Keir Starmer is a liar’: Voters speak out ahead of crucial by-election
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Feb 24, 2026 
Matt Goodwin, academic-turned-politician running for Reform UK, talks campaign strategy, identity and migration. Scarlett Maguire, pollster and founder of Merlin Strategies, breaks down polling, tactical voting and shifting voter blocs. They discuss the by-election’s national implications, Labour unpopularity, Green momentum and how vote splits could reshape local and national politics.
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Farage Could Become PM Because Politics Is Fractured
- Nigel Farage could realistically become prime minister because fractured parties make coalitions likelier than single‑party majorities.
- Scarlett Maguire warns seat-by-seat tactical voting and fractured local contests make national seat projections unreliable.
Gorton Denton Is A Tactical Voting Litmus Test
- Gorton and Denton is a tactical‑voting test: will voters back an unpopular leader like Keir Starmer purely to stop Reform?
- Scarlett says we don't yet know if progressive tactical voting will coalesce around Labour or another party.
Greens Rising By Adopting Neo‑Corbynite Economics
- The Greens have risen by adopting a left populist economic pitch under Zach Polanski rather than focusing on environmentalists.
- Pollsters disagree widely on Green support, from ~10% to nearly 18%, making outcomes uncertain.