Politics Politics Politics

A Deep Dive Into All Things Iran War. Plus, Oscar Nominee Picks (with Ryan McBeth and Jada Yuan)

Mar 12, 2026
Jada Yuan, film critic (former Washington Post) offers hot takes on Oscar nominees, festival highlights, and standout performances. Ryan McBeth, military analyst and Substack writer, breaks down Iran-related military phases, sensor vulnerabilities, drones, and escalation risks. They jump between defense logistics and cinematic choices in short, lively conversations.
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INSIGHT

Firing Reveals Launchers And Shrinks Iranian Arsenal Effectively

  • Quantity of Iranian missiles and drones matters less if launchers and command are targeted; firing reveals launch positions to space-based sensors.
  • McBeth says 1,500–2,000 missiles is upper limit, but each TEL and launch protocol constrain sortie rate.
ANECDOTE

How Hormuz Fear Triggered A Rapid Oil Whipsaw

  • Justin recounts the oil-price whipsaw tied to early Iran strikes and Hormuz fears that spiked then collapsed prices.
  • He traced panic to insurers and shipping decisions rather than an immediate physical shortage of oil.
INSIGHT

Hormuz Disruption Is Driven By Insurance And Crew Risk

  • Closing the Strait of Hormuz is as much an insurance and crew-safety problem as a purely naval one.
  • Justin and McBeth argue tankers wait on insurance and shipping companies resist moving crews into perceived danger despite available naval escorts.
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