The Fourcast Iran war latest: is there any hope for Trump’s peace talks?
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Mar 24, 2026 
Dr Siavush Randjbar-Daemi, a modern Middle East historian, and Mark Montgomery, a retired U.S. Rear Admiral and naval strategist, break down high-stakes diplomacy and military choices. They tackle Trump’s claimed talks and Tehran’s denials. They assess threats to the Strait of Hormuz, options to reopen shipping lanes, and what Iran might demand from any negotiations.
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Trump's Negotiation Claims Aim To Calm Markets
- Trump touted negotiations with Iran to calm markets rather than to reveal a concrete deal.
- Siavush Randjbar-Daemi and Mark Montgomery note Iranians publicly denied talks, creating skepticism about the diplomatic gambit.
Deter Strait Disruption With Warnings And Targeted Strikes
- Use naval warnings and targeted strikes on shipping to deter Iran without invading islands.
- Mark Montgomery recommends warning merchant ships and sinking violators at set distances to stop flows from Karg Island.
Iran Seeks Guarantees Not A Simple Ceasefire
- Iran rejects a simple ceasefire and demands guarantees against future attacks, reparations, and a say over Hormuz navigation.
- Siavush Randjbar-Daemi explains Tehran seeks durable guarantees, not temporary pauses.