
Cato Podcast Why Propping Up Maduro’s Allies Won’t Save Venezuela
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Jan 29, 2026 Marcos Falcone, a Cato Institute policy analyst on Latin America, offers concise analysis of Venezuela’s collapse and transition prospects. He discusses why Maduro’s inner circle cannot credibly reform. He highlights María Corina Machado’s liberal platform, her rise and legitimacy, and why immediate engagement matters. He warns that propping up regime insiders risks stalled reform and instability.
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State Capture Destroyed Venezuela’s Freedom
- The Chávez–Maduro era centralized state power and hollowed out institutions, producing political repression and economic collapse.
- Venezuela fell from a middling freer country to one of the least free globally, driven largely by state control of oil and nationalizations.
Oil Mismanagement Fueled Economic Catastrophe
- Nationalizing oil and purging experts caused oil output to drop about 70% from 2000–2020 and deepened Venezuela's dependency on oil revenues.
- The collapse produced hyperinflation and forced roughly 8 million people—about a quarter of the population—to flee.
Machado’s Early Warnings And Personal Courage
- Ian Vásquez recalled hosting María Corina Machado at a 2009 Cato forum where she warned Chávez used democratic trappings to consolidate authoritarianism.
- He also described her repeated personal courage, like returning to Venezuela in 2014 despite a travel ban and threats.

