Bloomberg Surveillance

Equity Push Ahead of CPI

Aug 11, 2025
Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI, discusses the evolving AI rally and the turbulence in equity markets as 2025 progresses. He shares insights on how recent geopolitical tensions, specifically the US-Russia summit, have influenced stock prices. As inflation data looms, he highlights how higher tariffs are filtering through to consumers, impacting various sectors. Join in for an engaging analysis of market dynamics and investment strategies amid ongoing volatility.
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INSIGHT

Tariff Pass‑Through Is Slow

  • Lauren Saidel‑Baker says tariffs generally take 9–18 months to show up in data.
  • Expect gradual pass‑through rather than immediate, dramatic inflation spikes.
INSIGHT

CPI Could Tick Higher

  • Lauren Saidel‑Baker sees a CPI uptick as tariffs and prices feed through.
  • She says a 4% headline CPI is within the realm of possibility.
ADVICE

Refinance Or Borrow Before Rates Rise

  • Lauren Saidel‑Baker recommends borrowing or refinancing now rather than waiting for lower rates.
  • The chance to save outweighs timing a small future rate drop.
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