Ask The Compound

Do Valuations Still Matter?

8 snips
Apr 29, 2026
They debate how much diversification is really necessary and the effects of geographic and market‑size choices. They dig into the usefulness of CAPE valuations and when extremes matter. There is a clear primer on building bond ladders with target‑maturity ETFs and how ladders compare to perpetual bond funds. Behavioral tips on managing financial anxiety and fee tradeoffs round out the conversation.
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ADVICE

Practical Minimum Diversification With Major Indexes

  • Do consider broad indexes (S&P 500 plus developed ex-US) as sufficient diversification for many investors.
  • Ben shows developed markets ≈92% of world and U.S. large caps ≈73%, meaning you give up ~25% of world market by excluding small/mid and emerging.
INSIGHT

CAPE Gives Context Not Market Timing

  • Valuation metrics like the CAPE can signal extremes but have limited timing value and their historical averages may not be relevant today.
  • Ben notes CAPE long-run average 17.7, recent decades average much higher, and since 1990 CAPE above average 95% of the time yet returns were ~10.8% annually.
ADVICE

Break The Spreadsheet Loop And Outsource Anxiety

  • Stop obsessing over spreadsheets and outsource worry to a professional or community.
  • Ben recommends checking master financial sheets rarely, talking to a financial advisor, and defining guilt-free spending and the real purpose of the money.
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