Leading Voices in Real Estate

Lew Horne & David Waite | The Los Angeles Wildfires: Recovery & Rebuild Update

Mar 3, 2026
Lew Horne, a CBRE exec who organized private-sector recovery workstreams, and David Waite, a land use attorney who led permitting and technical rebuild recommendations. They discuss permitting pace and certificate shortfalls. They cover the Builders Alliance formation, self-certification and AI plan-checking, insurance and cleanup standards, and the human toll of relocation and slow rebuilds.
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INSIGHT

Projected MultiYear Rebuild Pace

  • Rebuild pace will likely average 1,200–1,500 homes per year, meaning half of the 13,000+ lost homes return in ~5 years.
  • Less than a dozen homes had certificates of occupancy after one year, though ~900 were under construction.
INSIGHT

SelfCertification With AI Shortens Permitting

  • Professional self-certification plus AI plan-checking can cut plan-review from 12+ months to ~30–90 days.
  • Both city and county adopted pilot self-certification; early adoption limited (≈20 architects countywide, ≈160 permits).
ADVICE

Form A Builders Alliance To Scale Rebuilds

  • Build a Builders Alliance combining production, semi‑custom and custom builders to offer homeowners optionality and economies of scale.
  • Use preapproved plan sets, coordinated purchasing and staging to cut cost and time.
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