Radio National Breakfast

Iran launches fresh wave of strikes against Gulf states

Mar 5, 2026
Alex Vatanka, Senior Fellow at the Middle East Institute who studies Iran and regional security, explains Iran's recent strikes on Gulf states. He discusses military versus economic impacts and how Tehran’s actions aim to preserve the regime. He also covers regional stability risks, US political reactions, and the urgent need for clear American strategy.
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INSIGHT

Regional Economy Bears Brunt Of Retaliation

  • Iranian strikes are inflicting more regional economic pain than direct military damage to the US or Israel.
  • Alex Vatanka points to rising oil and gas prices and disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz as concrete economic effects.
INSIGHT

Iran Gambles By Burning Regional Bridges

  • Iran's leadership views the campaign as existential and is willing to burn diplomatic bridges with Arab neighbours to survive.
  • Vatanka says Iran aims to pressure the international community to force the US and Israel to back off.
ADVICE

Provide Clear Strategy Not Mixed Signals

  • US leaders must provide a clear, consistent strategy and public signals rather than vague threats and mixed messages.
  • Vatanka warns that confusing statements about regime change, selecting leaders, or arming groups undermines Iranian public support shifts.
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