There’s a ticking time bomb for the U.S. housing market that nobody is talking about. It’s the biggest existential threat to home prices and housing demand, and it (arguably) can’t be stopped. The question is, how long do we have until it happens?
Today, we’re talking about population: what happens when the U.S. population begins to decline, and the need for housing falls year after year? Deaths are already set to outpace births by 2031, meaning we’re just five short years away from this risky scenario becoming reality. What happens to home prices? Will millions of homes sit empty? Which markets will see their values fall the fastest? Is real estate still safe to invest in?
Dave’s giving a masterclass on the population crisis, and how the housing market will be affected. From birth rates to immigration, baby boomers passing away (and passing down their houses), and cities that will face the biggest demographic headwinds, this is what every investor needs to know before 2031.
In This Episode We Cover
What happens to the housing market once the population begins to decline?
Will our housing shortage flip to a supply glut as demand is forced to fall?
The one thing propping up our population and how it’s starting to falter
Short, medium, and long-term housing forecasts as population decline increases
Lessons from Japan, Germany, and Italy: Where do home prices fall the fastest once populations decline?
Markets that will be the safest when the population finally begins to flip
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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U.S. Immigration Crisis: What It Really Means for Housing Markets and Investors
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Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-403.
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