Earn Your Leisure Why the Market CRASHES Every February (And How to Profit)
Mar 15, 2026
They dissect the recurring February–March market dip and why it often becomes a buying window. The conversation links quarter-end flows to an April rebound and explains 'quadruple' week effects. Practical signals like VIX thresholds for timing buys are discussed. They also debate meme trades in oil, risks from private credit and jobs, and signs of domestic economic strain.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
February March Seasonal Market Dip
- The market typically dips in February and March as a seasonal cycle that acts like a preseason for investors and hedge funds.
- Rashad Bilal notes this pattern held in multiple years (2026, 2025, 2023, 2022, 2018) and creates buying opportunities before capital flows in mid-March.
Position During Preseason To Capture The Best Six Months
- Use the seasonal dip to position for the historically stronger April–September window (the 'best six months').
- Troy Millings recommends regular investing and positioning during February–March so you're set when deal flow increases in April.
Buy When VIX Exceeds 27
- Monitor the VIX as an unemployable technical indicator for market stress and buying windows.
- Rashad Bilal says VIX >27 usually leads to 1.5–2.5 months before it drops below ~21, creating a buy opportunity into top stocks.