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Ami Daniel, Co-Founder and CEO of Windward, on Global Supply Chain Disruptions, How Much Ransom Costs to Cross the Strait of Hormuz, Global Navies’ Capabilities, and How Long This Whole Thing Will Last

Mar 23, 2026
Ami Daniel, co-founder and CEO of Windward and former naval officer, explains why the Strait of Hormuz is a global trade choke point. He discusses mines, drones, ransom-for-passage tactics, soaring insurance and freight costs, rerouting and convoy challenges, and how a single weapon can shut trade again. Short-term shocks ripple into energy, food and fertilizer markets with long-lasting supply effects.
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ANECDOTE

Iran Replicates Houthi Ransom Playbook

  • Ami predicted Iran would follow the Houthi playbook by extracting ransoms for safe passage through maritime choke points.
  • He notes the Houthis charged $0.5–2M per passage in the Red Sea and Iran appears to be doing similar deals.
INSIGHT

Getting Oil Out Now Can Cost Half A Billion

  • Current insurance and freight surcharges make a Gulf-to-market oil shipment effectively a half‑billion dollar deal.
  • Freight and voyage premiums, plus higher insurance, multiply costs (freight ~10x; voyage cost compounds), drastically raising per‑voyage expense.
INSIGHT

Hundreds Of Ships Are Stuck And Container Trade Is Frozen

  • Hundreds of vessels are effectively trapped in the Arabian Gulf with carriers declaring end of voyage and container trade halted.
  • Ami notes liners like MSC and MERSC legally cancel deliveries as force majeure while thousands of containers sit immobile.
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