The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Sharp or Square - NFL WEEK 11 Bets: Patriots-Jets, Broncos-Chiefs, Bills-Bucs, Lions-Eagles, Bears-Vikings and more

Nov 12, 2025
NFL betting experts dive into the intriguing matchups of Week 11. They discuss the massive spread for the Jets-Patriots game and analyze the impact of injuries. Hear about the tight pricing for the Bengals-Steelers rivalry and the promising young QBs from the Panthers and Falcons. The hosts explore betting implications for the Bills-Bucs and whether the Browns can surprise against the Ravens. They also debate Denver's potential against the Chiefs and the Lions' favored status in Philly. It's a bountiful week for bets and insights!
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INSIGHT

Matchups Trump Coaching Drama

  • Coaching changes and team morale can swing lines quickly, but matchup strengths still drive value.
  • Packers' run game (Josh Jacobs) vs. Giants' poor rush defense supports Green Bay even after instability.
ADVICE

Don't Overbet Momentum With Bears

  • Avoid emotionally chasing the Bears when the Vikings line sits at about three; take value only if the market misprices.
  • If biased by recent wins, step back and treat this as a coin-flip priced fairly.
INSIGHT

Perception Can Skew Short-Term Lines

  • Public perception of teams often inflates lines after high-profile losses or wins; evaluate underlying injuries and scheme fit.
  • Bills-Bucs pricing may reflect respect bias rather than true advantage given key Bucs absences.
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