Bloomberg Surveillance

Trump Escalates Iran Threats Ahead of Hormuz Deadline

Apr 7, 2026
Rebecca Lissner, CFR senior fellow and former deputy national security adviser, on White House decision-making and Iran tactics. David Seif, Nomura chief economist, on global growth risks from prolonged Middle East conflict. Ellen Wald, Middle East energy expert, on Saudi moves and alternate oil routes. Joe Quinlan, BofA chief market strategist, on portfolio positioning, AI rotation and bond/cash strategies.
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ADVICE

Use A Barbell Strategy For AI Exposure

  • Quinlan recommends a barbell approach to AI investing: own firms leveraging AI for productivity and those building AI infrastructure.
  • He stresses diversification across beneficiaries and picks-and-shovels rather than a single concentrated bet.
INSIGHT

60-40 Still Works But Needs Active Management

  • Quinlan says the classic 60-40 portfolio still works but must be actively rebalanced and flexed frequently.
  • He recommends adding alternatives, cash, and commodities to adapt to changing market risks.
ADVICE

Don’t Overreact To Short-Term Conflict Shocks

  • Joe Quinlan advises investors not to radically change 2026 outlooks based on five weeks of conflict but to monitor developments and corporate guidance closely.
  • He points to substantial cash on the sidelines ($8 trillion) as potential dry powder for equities.
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