In it to Win it S&P 500 Surges 3.4% While Oil Explodes 11.9% What Comes Next ~ Monday Market Moves
In this week's Monday Market Moves, I break down what just happened across the markets and what I expect next as I walk you through equities commodities and crypto.
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Recorded on 4-4-2026. I highlight how the S&P 500 bounced 3.4% and is now pushing into major resistance near the 20 day and 200 day moving averages. I also point out the sharp 23.1% drop in volatility and explain why despite that move the broader trend in the VIX still favors higher levels. I dive into the U.S. dollar sitting at a critical level near 100 and why I believe a breakdown could be coming which would support commodities.
I then shift into the key trades and setups I am watching closely right now. I explain why gold's 4.2% move is likely to stay range bound in the short term while silver continues to form a bearish structure despite recent strength. I break down oil's massive 11.9% rally but show why futures markets and divergence suggest lower prices ahead. I also highlight uranium copper and nickel as strong longer-term opportunities driven by supply demand imbalances while maintaining a cautious short-term outlook across most commodities. Finally, I walk through Bitcoin where I see a slight upside bias but with low conviction as it approaches key resistance levels.
Key Insights in this episode
✅ S&P 500 up 3.4% rebounding into resistance near 20 day and 200 day averages around $6,650 ✅ VIX down 23.1% but still in an uptrend with bias pointing higher next week ✅ U.S. dollar flat near 100 level with increasing likelihood of breakdown and weakness ahead ✅ Gold up 4.2% facing resistance at $4,825 with 60% probability of range between $4,400 and $4,825 ✅ Silver up 4.5% but forming bearish flag with downside risk toward 50 to 55 range ✅ Copper up 1.6% with bearish pennant suggesting short term pullback despite long term bullish demand ✅ Uranium up 1.1% spot and 5.6% in Sprott trust with continued accumulation near 200 day average ✅ Oil WTI up 11.9% but futures curve and divergence point to likely downside reversal ✅ Natural gas down 7.1% breaking lower with bearish bias continuing into next week ✅ Platinum up 5.1% breaking downtrend with improving bullish structure after 200 day bounce ✅ Nickel down 0.7% forming bullish pennant with high probability breakout to upside ✅ Bitcoin up 2.1% with low conviction but slight upside bias toward resistance near $68,650
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Chapters
00:00 Introduction And Market Overview 00:15 S&P 500 Outlook And Resistance Levels 05:12 Gold Price Action And Range Forecast 09:36 Silver Setup And Bearish Flag Risk 15:54 Copper Outlook And Short Term Bias 19:19 Uranium Market And Accumulation Zone 20:41 Oil Surge And Reversal Signals 27:43 Natural Gas Breakdown And Weak Trend 28:44 Coal Market Structure And Opportunity 31:37 Platinum And Palladium Recovery Setup 33:32 Nickel Bullish Pennant Formation 34:27 Bitcoin Short Term Direction
35:14 Golden Egg Giveaway!
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
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