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Mass Strikes Can Destroy But Not Rebuild
- The US and Israel aim to decapitate Iran's military infrastructure via mass strikes to showcase conventional superiority.
- Renard Mansour warns destruction won't necessarily produce stable post-conflict governance because Iran's institutions are built to endure and adapt.
Iranians Fleeing To Turkey Often Have No Plan
- Iranians crossing into Turkey often arrive with no long-term plan, fleeing blasts and seeking immediate safety or better connectivity.
- Emily Withers describes people leaving Tehran in traffic to get their children out and others using Turkey for internet access and short-term refuge.
Turkey's Delicate 360 Degree Balancing Act
- Turkey pursues a 360-degree foreign policy balancing NATO ties, economic pragmatism with Iran, and close ties to the US.
- Emily Withers notes Ankara is wary of a mass refugee exodus after Syria and wants to avoid spillover while calling strikes violations of international law.