FiveThirtyEight Politics Has Harris Changed The Election For Black Voters?
Sep 19, 2024
Cheryl Laird, a Professor of Government and Politics, and Kiana Cox, a Senior researcher at Pew, delve into the shifting dynamics of Black voter support as the 2024 election nears. They discuss how Kamala Harris's candidacy is rekindling enthusiasm among Black voters, breaking patterns of loyalty to the Democratic Party. The conversation also explores generational divides, economic influences, and the complex relationship between race, gender, and political engagement, highlighting the significant role of identity in shaping voter attitudes.
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Harris's Impact and Generational Divide
- Harris improved Democrats' standing among Black voters, but not to pre-Biden-Harris levels.
- Younger Black men show higher support for Trump than other demographics, raising questions.
Generational Divide in Trust and Support
- Older Black voters show stronger support for Democrats than younger Black voters. Younger Black voters are more likely to trust Trump on economic issues.
- However, even younger Black voters who aren't fully supportive of Trump have shown increased positive views of Harris.
New Trend: Age Disparity in Black Voter Preferences
- Support for Democratic candidates among Black voters used to be consistent across age groups.
- The current age gap, with younger Black voters showing more support for Republicans, seems to be a newer trend.
