Riskgaming The risks no one talks about
10 snips
Jan 21, 2026 Lily Boland, a Strategic Foresight Fellow at the Converging Risks Lab, shares insights on navigating the chaos of today's world. She explores the crucial difference between foresight and forecasting, emphasizing the value of structured play in immersive games. The conversation highlights the need for awareness of underreported risks, particularly ecological security, and how new geopolitical dynamics are reshaping nuclear strategies. Lily also discusses the power of games in changing perspectives and fostering collaboration among experts.
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Foresight Is Not Forecasting
- Foresight maps a wide set of plausible futures rather than predicting a single outcome.
- It uses structured tools (horizon scans, driver maps, backcasting) to challenge assumptions and manage uncertainty.
Do Research Before You Game
- Start with research and horizon scans before committing to a full game design.
- Use pilot foresight work to decide whether a game is justified and how to scope it.
Turn Drivers Into Game Mechanics
- Foresight outputs (drivers, scenario narratives) provide raw material for game mechanics and injects.
- Selecting the most uncertain drivers helps test deeper systemic vulnerabilities in games.
